Calendar: 6 Januari - 10 Januari 2014

Catatan minggu sebelumnya:
Data fundamental yang membaik: CAD - USD
Data fundamental yang memburuk: GBP 

Beberapa event penting untuk diperhatikan minggu ini adalah:

Impact AUD: 
Trade Balance --> prediksi menguat
Building Approvals m/m --> prediksi menguat
Retail Sales m/m --> prediksi stabil
CPI y/y (CNY) --> prediksi melemah
Trade Balance (CNY) --> prediksi melemah          

Impact CAD:
Trade Balance --> prediksi melemah
Ivey PMI --> prediksi menguat
Building Permits m/m --> prediksi melemah
Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi stabil    

Impact CHF: 
CPI m/m --> prediksi melemah
    
Impact EUR:
CPI Flash Estimate y/y --> prediksi stabil
German Constitutional Court Ruling
Minimum Bid Rate --> prediksi stabil
ECB Press Conference   
  
Impact GBP:
Services PMI --> prediksi stabil
Asset Purchase Facility --> prediksi stabil
Official Bank Rate --> prediksi stabil
MPC Rate Statement
Manufacturing Production m/m --> prediksi stabil      

Impact USD:
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI --> prediksi menguat
Fed Chairman Nomination Vote  
Trade Balance --> prediksi menguat
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Unemployment Claims --> prediksi menguat
Non-Farm Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi stabil                      

data source: forexfactory

Bias/ kecenderungan:
AUD: mix
EUR: mix
GBP: mix
CHF: lemah
CAD: lemah
USD: kuat

Jika data "sesuai" forecast, maka:

GBPUSD - NZDUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD --> cenderung bearish
USDJPY - Yen Crosses- USDCHF - USDCAD --> cenderung bullish
EURGBP --> cenderung bearish
AUDNZD --> cenderung bullish