Calendar: 4 November - 8 November 2013

Catatan minggu lalu:
Data fundamental yang membaik: AUD
Data fundamental yang memburuk: GBP - USD - EUR

Beberapa event penting untuk diperhatikan minggu ini adalah:

Impact AUD:
Retail Sales m/m --> prediksi menguat 
Cash Rate --> prediksi stabil
RBA Rate Statement
Trade Balance --> prediksi menguat 
Employment Change --> prediksi menguat 
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi melemah 
RBA Monetary Policy Statement
Trade Balance (CNY) --> prediksi menguat       

Impact CHF:
CPI m/m --> prediksi melemah

Impact CAD:
Building Permits m/m --> prediksi menguat
Ivey PMI --> prediksi menguat
Employment Change --> prediksi menguat
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi melemah  

Impact EUR:
Minimum Bid Rate --> prediksi stabil
ECB Press Conference
ECB President Draghi Speaks  
  
Impact GBP:
Construction PMI --> prediksi stabil
Services PMI --> prediksi stabil
Manufacturing Production m/m --> prediksi menguat
Asset Purchase Facility --> prediksi stabil
Official Bank Rate --> prediksi stabil
MPC Rate Statement      

Impact JPY:
BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks

Impact NZD:
Employment Change q/q --> prediksi menguat
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi menguat

Impact USD:
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI --> prediksi melemah
Advance GDP q/q --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Claims --> prediksi menguat
Non-Farm Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi melemah
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment --> prediksi menguat
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks                  

data source: forexfactory

Bias/ kecenderungan:
AUD: kuat
NZD: kuat
CHF: lemah
CAD: kuat
USD: lemah

Jika data "setidaknya sesuai" forecast, maka:

GBPUSD - NZDUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD --> cenderung bullish
USDJPY - Yen Crosses- USDCHF - USDCAD --> cenderung bearish
EURGBP --> cenderung bullish
AUDNZD --> cenderung bullish