Calendar: 2 Desember - 6 Desember 2013
Friday, November 29, 2013
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Catatan minggu lalu:
Data fundamental yang baik: USD - AUD - NZD
Data fundamental yang buruk: EUR - GBP - JPY
Beberapa event penting untuk diperhatikan minggu ini adalah:
Impact AUD:
Building Approvals m/m --> prediksi melemah
Retail Sales m/m --> prediksi melemah
Cash Rate --> prediksi stabil
RBA Rate Statement
GDP q/q --> prediksi menguat
Trade Balance --> prediksi melemah
Impact CAD:
Trade Balance --> prediksi melemah
BOC Rate Statement
Overnight Rate --> prediksi stabil
Building Permits m/m --> prediksi menguat
Ivey PMI --> prediksi melemah
Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi melemah
Impact CHF:
CPI m/m --> prediksi stabil
Impact EUR:
Minimum Bid Rate --> prediksi stabil
ECB Press Conference
Impact GBP:
Manufacturing PMI --> prediksi menguat
Construction PMI --> prediksi stabil
Services PMI --> prediksi melemah
Asset Purchase Facility --> prediksi stabil
Official Bank Rate --> prediksi stabil
MPC Rate Statement
Impact JPY:
BOJ Gov Kuroda Speaks
Impact USD:
Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
ISM Manufacturing PMI --> prediksi melemah
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change --> prediksi menguat
Trade Balance --> prediksi menguat
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI --> prediksi stabil
New Home Sales --> prediksi menguat
Prelim GDP q/q --> prediksi menguat
Unemployment Claims --> prediksi melemah
Non-Farm Employment Change --> prediksi melemah
Unemployment Rate --> prediksi menguat
Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment --> prediksi menguat
data source: forexfactory
Bias/ kecenderungan:
AUD: lemah
CAD: lemah
USD: kuat
Jika data "setidaknya sesuai" forecast, maka:
GBPUSD - NZDUSD - AUDUSD - EURUSD --> cenderung bearish
USDJPY - Yen Crosses- USDCHF - USDCAD --> cenderung bullish
EURGBP --> cenderung bearish
AUDNZD --> cenderung bullish
Baca Selengkapnya ....